PFL Superbowl VI between the Steve
Stewarts Chicago Bears and Ryan
Collins New Orleans Saints provides for some intriguing
matchups. While these two teams are even at several positions,
the couple of areas where each respective team has a distinct
advantage could be the difference that determines who will be
crowned the PFL's best. Offensively both teams are very similar
in style and production. But defensively, there are some contrast
between the two teams that stand out. Before we look at those,
lets observe the position by position analysis.
| Stewart |
Position |
Collins |
Edge |
|
9.5
|
QB
|
9.5
|
Even
|
|
5
|
RB
|
6
|
Collins
|
|
10
|
WR
|
10
|
Even
|
|
6
|
OL
|
8
|
Collins
|
|
5
|
DL
|
9
|
Collins
|
|
8
|
LB
|
6
|
Stewart
|
|
8
|
Secondary
|
6
|
Stewart
|
|
8
|
Sp.
Teams
|
6
|
Stewart
|
|
7
|
Adjustments
|
9
|
Collins
|
|
8
|
Creativity
|
7
|
Stewart
|
Taking
a look at the qb position, both ballers have benefited from excellent
play from their field generals. Stewart started the season with
Shane Matthews at quarterback. After week 6, Stewart tried McKnown
and never looked back. Matthews was productive, but apparently
Stewart wanted more out of the QB position. Matthews had posted
a 111 pt. QB rating which was among the top 5 at the time. His
20-7 TD to interception was exceptional as well. But the play
of McKnown has been even better. McKnown finished the season with
a league leading 129 pt. QB rating. He followed that up with 50
TD's, compared to 10 Ints, and just over 4800 yards passing. These
numbers are astounding. In addition, McKnown competed 56.9% of
his passes, averaging 24.7 yards per pass play, which shows this
guys is all about the big plays.
Collins
on the other hand has put up absurd numbers passing the football
as well. Aaron Brooks 6150 yards passing and 80 Td's are both
PFL records. Another impressive stat is Collins TD to INT ratio
of 80-16. Aaron Brooks complete 55.5% of his passes for a 23.6
yards per pass play average. This also suggest that Collins strength
is capitalizing on the big play.
| QB
Comparison |
Att
|
Cm
|
Yds
|
Int
|
TD
|
Pct
|
Avg
|
Rtg
|
Pts
|
| Aaron
Brooks - Saints |
470
|
261
|
6150
|
16
|
80
|
55.5
|
23.6
|
125.8
|
480
|
| McKnown
- Bears |
343 |
195 |
4814 |
10 |
50 |
56.9 |
24.7 |
129.0 |
300 |
| Matthews
- Bears |
161 |
81 |
1774 |
7 |
20 |
50.3 |
21.9 |
111.4 |
120 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Looking
at the above comparison chart shows that both of these guys are
good at throwing the football.
What
has been uninspiring however has been the running game for both
of these teams. I give the edge here to Collins because he can
run the football when he wants to. But whether or not he has the
patience to do so is another story.
However,
there has been no REAL NEED to attempt to run the football for
either baller, since their passing games have been so dominant.
So while the numbers in the running game may be low, they can
be misleading.
| Rushing |
Rsh |
Yds |
Avg |
TD |
Pts |
| Ricky
Williams - Saints |
84 |
351 |
4.2 |
11 |
66 |
| James
Allen - Bears |
53 |
241 |
4.5 |
5 |
30 |
Notice
each back is has a nice YPC average of +4 yards. It is the frequency
or the amount of touches each back is getting in the offense that
is drastically low. Collins is is getting Ricky Williams just
over 5 touches running the ball per game, while Stewart is only
getting the ball to Allen a little over 3 times per game. While
this has been successful in the PFL, both of these ballers will
need to drastically improve this area of the offense for Nationals.
Another
area these two teams are relatively even is at the receiver position.
Collins spreads the wealth among his excellent receivers using
the wideouts, slots and TE. Stewart has been a little more exclusive,
getting the ball primarily to Marcus Robinson and David Terrell.
| Receiving |
Rec |
Yds |
TD |
Avg |
Pts |
| Joe
Horn - Saints |
98 |
2349 |
31 |
24.0 |
186 |
| Marcus
Robinson - Bears |
93 |
2616 |
18 |
28.1 |
108 |
| David
Terrell - Bears |
83 |
2277 |
28 |
27.4 |
168 |
| Albert
Connel - Saints |
73 |
1766 |
24 |
24.2 |
144 |
| James
Allen - Bears |
38 |
657 |
7 |
17.3 |
42 |
| Willie
Jackson - Saints |
34 |
842 |
7 |
24.2 |
144 |
| Cam
Cleeland - Saints |
21 |
407 |
7 |
19.4 |
42 |
| Bobby
Engram - Bears |
20 |
401 |
4 |
20 |
24 |
| Ricky
Williams - Saints |
18 |
87 |
2 |
4.8 |
12 |
Collins
has been able to find the big TE Cleeland, as well as Jackson
and Ojo in the passing attack. Aside from Terrell and Robinson,
Bobby Engram is the only other receiver with significant touches
in the pass offense for the Bears. Both ballers have been able
to use their backs to a certain extent. James Allen has 34 receptions
coming out of the backfield as compared to just 18 for the Saints
Ricky Williams. Stewart will have his hands full trying to contain
the explosive Horn who has 31 Td's, especially when Collins audibles
down to get Horn at the TE position.
The
one area of weakness the Bears may have on the offense is at the
o-line. Stewart has a great center in Olen kruezt, but the rest
of the line has been average at best. The Cowboys exposed the
weak line play of the Bears in week 9, when Dexter Coakley went
off for 6 sacks. Collins will run a similar scheme to Dallas,
as he loves to spread his d-line wide. I like the Saints d-line
in this match up since they are leading the league with 80 sacks.
Howard, Johnson, Glover and Hand will have a field day if Stewart
doesn't run the ball to wear them down.
Speaking
of the d-line, lets take a look at how the two teams break down
statistically.
| Sacks |
Sk
|
| Joe
Johnson - Saints |
17
|
| Howard
- Saints |
17
|
| Hand
- Saints |
9
|
| Darren
Smith- Saints |
9
|
| Duane
Hawthorne - Saints |
8
|
| Azumah
- Bears |
7
|
| Colvin
- Bears |
6
|
| LaRoi
Glover - Saints |
6
|
| S.
Harris - Bears |
6
|
| Mitchell
- Saints |
6
|
| Clemons
- Saints |
5
|
| Fred
Weary - Saints |
3
|
| Keith
Traylor - Bears |
3
|
| B.
Robinson - Bears |
2
|
| T.
Washington - Bears |
2
|
| Urlacher
- Bears |
2
|
Notice
that the Saints Johnson and Howard alone have more sacks than
the entire Bears defense. This is an area where Stewart must effectively
game plan for. In addition, the Bears will need to get significant
pressure on Collins. If not, he Stewart will become frustrated
with Collins ability to thrown the corner or the deep outs.
Both
teams are average at best at the linebacker position. However,
the play of Brian Urlacher leads me to give the Bears the edge
here. Urlacher is excellent in coverage as well as run pursuit.
His awareness numbers allows him to stuff the run as well as make
key plays defending the pass. His statistical numbers are not
big, but he will be a force that Collins will need to recognize
when game planning.
Another
area I give the Bears the edge in defensively is the secondary.
That is primarily because of the play of the ball hawking corner
back Walt Harris. Harris is leading the PFL with 10 picks. The
Bears safety play has been consistent as well. Stewart will need
to make excellent plays in the secondary against Collins. To me,
this is where the game will be won.
| DB
Comparison |
Int |
| Walt
Harris - Bears |
10 |
| J.
Bellamy - Saints |
6 |
| Sammy
Knight - Saints |
6 |
| Darren
Smith - Saints |
4 |
| S.
Harris - Bears |
3 |
| Mike
Brown - Bears |
3 |
| Colvin
- Bears |
2 |
| Parrish
- Bears |
2 |
| Duane
Hawthorne - Saints |
1 |
| Hand
- Saints |
1 |
| Steve
Israel - Saints |
1 |
| |
|
Although
the Bears have 20 INTS, the Saints are right behind them with
19. Obviously the play of Walt Harris stands out. However, after
Harris, there is a drop off in productivity, where as other members
of the Saints secondary have stepped up. But the reason I like
the Bears here is because, if Stewart can utilize Harris as a
shutdown corner and contain Horn, it really forces Collins to
force other receivers to make big plays. In addition, the Saints
don't have the big receivers, thus, covering the deep ball won't
be as big an issue. However, the Saints DB's are relatively short,
and will be challenged covering the much bigger Terrell and Robinson.
In
summary, both teams can score it. The biggest key to the game
will be how effective the Saints will be rushing the passer, and
if Stewart can make key plays in the secondary.
|