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How They Match Up
 

Ricky Williams PFL Superbowl VI between the Steve Stewarts Chicago Bears and Ryan Collins New Orleans Saints provides for some intriguing matchups. While these two teams are even at several positions, the couple of areas where each respective team has a distinct advantage could be the difference that determines who will be crowned the PFL's best. Offensively both teams are very similar in style and production. But defensively, there are some contrast between the two teams that stand out. Before we look at those, lets observe the position by position analysis.

Stewart Position Collins Edge
9.5
QB
9.5
Even
5
RB
6
Collins
10
WR
10
Even
6
OL
8
Collins
5
DL
9
Collins
8
LB
6
Stewart
8
Secondary
6
Stewart
8
Sp. Teams
6
Stewart
7
Adjustments
9
Collins
8
Creativity
7
Stewart

Taking a look at the qb position, both ballers have benefited from excellent play from their field generals. Stewart started the season with Shane Matthews at quarterback. After week 6, Stewart tried McKnown and never looked back. Matthews was productive, but apparently Stewart wanted more out of the QB position. Matthews had posted a 111 pt. QB rating which was among the top 5 at the time. His 20-7 TD to interception was exceptional as well. But the play of McKnown has been even better. McKnown finished the season with a league leading 129 pt. QB rating. He followed that up with 50 TD's, compared to 10 Ints, and just over 4800 yards passing. These numbers are astounding. In addition, McKnown competed 56.9% of his passes, averaging 24.7 yards per pass play, which shows this guys is all about the big plays.

Collins on the other hand has put up absurd numbers passing the football as well. Aaron Brooks 6150 yards passing and 80 Td's are both PFL records. Another impressive stat is Collins TD to INT ratio of 80-16. Aaron Brooks complete 55.5% of his passes for a 23.6 yards per pass play average. This also suggest that Collins strength is capitalizing on the big play.

QB Comparison
Att
Cm
Yds
Int
TD
Pct
Avg
Rtg
Pts
Aaron Brooks - Saints
470
261
6150
16
80
55.5
23.6
125.8
480
McKnown - Bears 343 195 4814 10 50 56.9 24.7 129.0 300
Matthews - Bears 161 81 1774 7 20 50.3 21.9 111.4 120

Looking at the above comparison chart shows that both of these guys are good at throwing the football.

What has been uninspiring however has been the running game for both of these teams. I give the edge here to Collins because he can run the football when he wants to. But whether or not he has the patience to do so is another story.

However, there has been no REAL NEED to attempt to run the football for either baller, since their passing games have been so dominant. So while the numbers in the running game may be low, they can be misleading.

Rushing Rsh Yds Avg TD Pts
Ricky Williams - Saints 84 351 4.2 11 66
James Allen - Bears 53 241 4.5 5 30

Notice each back is has a nice YPC average of +4 yards. It is the frequency or the amount of touches each back is getting in the offense that is drastically low. Collins is is getting Ricky Williams just over 5 touches running the ball per game, while Stewart is only getting the ball to Allen a little over 3 times per game. While this has been successful in the PFL, both of these ballers will need to drastically improve this area of the offense for Nationals.

Another area these two teams are relatively even is at the receiver position. Collins spreads the wealth among his excellent receivers using the wideouts, slots and TE. Stewart has been a little more exclusive, getting the ball primarily to Marcus Robinson and David Terrell.

Receiving Rec Yds TD Avg Pts
Joe Horn - Saints 98 2349 31 24.0 186
Marcus Robinson - Bears 93 2616 18 28.1 108
David Terrell - Bears 83 2277 28 27.4 168
Albert Connel - Saints 73 1766 24 24.2 144
James Allen - Bears 38 657 7 17.3 42
Willie Jackson - Saints 34 842 7 24.2 144
Cam Cleeland - Saints 21 407 7 19.4 42
Bobby Engram - Bears 20 401 4 20 24
Ricky Williams - Saints 18 87 2 4.8 12

Collins has been able to find the big TE Cleeland, as well as Jackson and Ojo in the passing attack. Aside from Terrell and Robinson, Bobby Engram is the only other receiver with significant touches in the pass offense for the Bears. Both ballers have been able to use their backs to a certain extent. James Allen has 34 receptions coming out of the backfield as compared to just 18 for the Saints Ricky Williams. Stewart will have his hands full trying to contain the explosive Horn who has 31 Td's, especially when Collins audibles down to get Horn at the TE position.

The one area of weakness the Bears may have on the offense is at the o-line. Stewart has a great center in Olen kruezt, but the rest of the line has been average at best. The Cowboys exposed the weak line play of the Bears in week 9, when Dexter Coakley went off for 6 sacks. Collins will run a similar scheme to Dallas, as he loves to spread his d-line wide. I like the Saints d-line in this match up since they are leading the league with 80 sacks. Howard, Johnson, Glover and Hand will have a field day if Stewart doesn't run the ball to wear them down.

Speaking of the d-line, lets take a look at how the two teams break down statistically.

Sacks
Sk
Joe Johnson - Saints
17
Howard - Saints
17
Hand - Saints
9
Darren Smith- Saints
9
Duane Hawthorne - Saints
8
Azumah - Bears
7
Colvin - Bears
6
LaRoi Glover - Saints
6
S. Harris - Bears
6
Mitchell - Saints
6
Clemons - Saints
5
Fred Weary - Saints
3
Keith Traylor - Bears
3
B. Robinson - Bears
2
T. Washington - Bears
2
Urlacher - Bears
2

Notice that the Saints Johnson and Howard alone have more sacks than the entire Bears defense. This is an area where Stewart must effectively game plan for. In addition, the Bears will need to get significant pressure on Collins. If not, he Stewart will become frustrated with Collins ability to thrown the corner or the deep outs.

Both teams are average at best at the linebacker position. However, the play of Brian Urlacher leads me to give the Bears the edge here. Urlacher is excellent in coverage as well as run pursuit. His awareness numbers allows him to stuff the run as well as make key plays defending the pass. His statistical numbers are not big, but he will be a force that Collins will need to recognize when game planning.

Another area I give the Bears the edge in defensively is the secondary. That is primarily because of the play of the ball hawking corner back Walt Harris. Harris is leading the PFL with 10 picks. The Bears safety play has been consistent as well. Stewart will need to make excellent plays in the secondary against Collins. To me, this is where the game will be won.

DB Comparison Int
Walt Harris - Bears 10
J. Bellamy - Saints 6
Sammy Knight - Saints 6
Darren Smith - Saints 4
S. Harris - Bears 3
Mike Brown - Bears 3
Colvin - Bears 2
Parrish - Bears 2
Duane Hawthorne - Saints 1
Hand - Saints 1
Steve Israel - Saints 1
   

Although the Bears have 20 INTS, the Saints are right behind them with 19. Obviously the play of Walt Harris stands out. However, after Harris, there is a drop off in productivity, where as other members of the Saints secondary have stepped up. But the reason I like the Bears here is because, if Stewart can utilize Harris as a shutdown corner and contain Horn, it really forces Collins to force other receivers to make big plays. In addition, the Saints don't have the big receivers, thus, covering the deep ball won't be as big an issue. However, the Saints DB's are relatively short, and will be challenged covering the much bigger Terrell and Robinson.

In summary, both teams can score it. The biggest key to the game will be how effective the Saints will be rushing the passer, and if Stewart can make key plays in the secondary.

 

 

Ryan Collins Notebook

Steve Stewart Notebook

Swamm's SB 6 Analysis

Swammi grades each team

Chat about the PFL Playoffs

Post Up Re: PFL SB6

Flashback: Listen To PFL SB5

 

 

 

 


 
 
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